A ‘significant number’ of voters—almost 75 million out of 244 million eligible (30.7%)—have already voted during the early voting period, with over 50% of eligible voters having cast ballots in nine states one day before the U.S. presidential election. In the 2020 election, early voting turnout ultimately reached 46%.
According to a recent New York Times poll, Kamala Harris has a slight lead in three of the seven swing states—Nevada, North Carolina, and Wisconsin—while Donald Trump holds a narrow lead in Arizona, in which 40% of respondents reported having already voted. However, the poll results remain within the margin of error.
A Selzer poll shows K. Harris with a 3-point lead in Iowa, a state D. Trump won in 2016 and 2020
According to the same poll, Trump continues to draw support from voters with similar demographics to those in 2020 and 2016—primarily white men without a college education—while also gaining backing among younger and non-white voters. Harris, meanwhile, appears to be performing less strongly than Biden in 2020 among young, Black, and Latino voters.
Both candidates visited swing states yesterday. Speaking in Michigan, a state with a significant Arab and Muslim American population, Harris pledged to do ‘everything in her power to end the war in Gaza.’ Trump, meanwhile, said that he should not have left the White House after his 2020 loss and ‘joked’ about being ok with journalists being shot.